Ray kurzweil (a futurist) got his predictions for the future late by a factor of 1.5. This is because he thinked that computational price efficiency was doubling every 12 months in 1999 but in fact it was doubling every 18 months at the time before moore's law flattening (he talks about this 12 month increase in his books). He got his predictions right but late by a factor of 1.5.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Koomey%27s_law
Koomey law was discovered in 2010 and describes it
https://www.infoworld.com/article/2620185/koomey-s-law--computing-efficiency-keeps-pace-with-moore-s-law.html
Here is a video on this 1.5x increase.
The predictions for 2009 made by Ray Kurzweil are late also in 2014 using my 1.5 method (if you use this method you get 2014 for 2009) but not late in 2016, this is because moore's law was slowing down at that time, but it´s replacement it´s coming and it will get us back to the trendline because of the high demand there is for computation. (he also predicted moores law slowing and it ending around 2020 but this predicton doesn´t need the price efficiency information/data to be predicted)
-2035 Slow down aging (this was predicted in his book transcend as 2023)
-2044 androids (weak ai is not alive, strong ai is alive but weak ai can imitate human behavior also) (so this robots would need weak ai)
-2044 longevity escape velocity
-2044 i believe this could be the time we get a non-invasive procedure with nanobots as an alternative to LL and it woud be able to be done in all the bones
-2051.5 reverse aging (also in his book transcend as 2034)
Quote from: stevens on December 22, 2021, 08:39:17 AMRay kurzweil (a futurist) got his predictions for the future late by a factor of 1.5. This is because he thinked that computational price efficiency was doubling every 12 months in 1999 but in fact it was doubling every 18 months at the time before moore's law flattening (he talks about this 12 month increase in his books). He got his predictions right but late by a factor of 1.5.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Koomey%27s_law
Koomey law was discovered in 2010 and describes it
https://www.infoworld.com/article/2620185/koomey-s-law--computing-efficiency-keeps-pace-with-moore-s-law.html
Here is a video on this 1.5x increase.
The predictions for 2009 made by Ray Kurzweil are late also in 2014 using my 1.5 method (if you use this method you get 2014 for 2009) but not late in 2016, this is because moore's law was slowing down at that time, but it´s replacement it´s coming and it will get us back to the trendline because of the high demand there is for computation. (he also predicted moores law slowing and it ending around 2020 but this predicton doesn´t need the price efficiency information/data to be predicted)
-2035 Slow down aging (this was predicted in his book transcend as 2023)
-2044 androids (weak ai is not alive, strong ai is alive but weak ai can imitate human behavior also) (so this robots would need weak ai)
-2044 longevity escape velocity
-2044 i believe this could be the time we get a non-invasive procedure with nanobots as an alternative to LL and it woud be able to be done in all the bones
-2051.5 reverse aging (also in his book transcend as 2034)
great news if these become true. Ater LL surgery, I wanna live and enjoy life so bad, much to the point that everyday is the last day. Let's live to 200 years
Molecular manufacturing - 2020. 
Quote from: Medium Drink Of Water on December 22, 2021, 06:16:40 PMMolecular manufacturing - 2020.
In this 2017 study they say that in 10 or 20 years we could start using nanobots for manufacturing
https://bigthink.com/hard-science/the-worlds-1st-molecular-robot-has-been-created-by-uk-scientists/#:~:text=This%20is%20just%20the%20start%20but%20we%20anticipate%20that%20within%2010%20to%2020%20years%20molecular%20robots%20will%20begin%20to%20be%20used%20to%20build%20molecules%20and%20materials%20on%20assembly%20lines%20in%20molecular%20factories.
He said 2020s i think (may i'm wrong) for this so it should happen between 2030.5 and 2044 using this method.
By 2044 thanks to nano robots people no longer have to worry about height 
Does that mean we just need an injection, like what we have been doing with Covid19 vaccination, then our bones would naturally grow longer like what we have experienced in puberty?
Quote from: Dexter5729 on December 22, 2021, 09:26:04 AMgreat news if these become true. Ater LL surgery, I wanna live and enjoy life so bad, much to the point that everyday is the last day. Let's live to 200 years
Do you think in another ten years most people who live in undeveloped countries may have a chance to live to 100 years old by average?
Quote from: ilovescience on December 22, 2021, 11:13:41 PMBy 2044 thanks to nano robots people no longer have to worry about height
Does that mean we just need an injection, like what we have been doing with Covid19 vaccination, then our bones would naturally grow longer like what we have experienced in puberty?
I don´t really know, maybe taken orally or by an injection also. For example he predicts that by 2035 most humans will have nanobots around their bodies, it will be natural to have million/billions of them inside your body. For example you will sleep and do everything with them inside.
This 2035 means 2053 with the method.
Quote from: stevens on December 23, 2021, 01:19:10 AMI don´t really know, maybe taken orally or by an injection also. For example he predicts that by 2035 most humans will have nanobots around their bodies, it will be natural to have million/billions of them inside your body. For example you will sleep and do everything with them inside.
This 2035 means 2053 with the method.
2053? That's still far away. I
Don't we already have nano robots in some hospitals now?
Quote from: ilovescience on December 22, 2021, 11:18:27 PMDo you think in another ten years most people who live in undeveloped countries may have a chance to live to 100 years old by average?
He just said around 120 years average life expectancy in 2029 (2044) in his the age of spiritual machines book.
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